The Investment Process for The Munro Fund is different from every
other collective fund we are aware of in the UK. The difference is
that this fund is managed in a mechanical fashion rather than a discretionary
fashion. In other words the managers are guided on what to hold and
how much of it by the process outlined below. This brings four advantages.
The first is that the process can be maintained
independently of individuals so it will be the same in ten years or
twenty years time.
The second advantage is that the process is not
susceptible to the whims or fancies of an individual and is therefore
more consistent and reliable.
The third advantage is that by dealing with lots
of data in formalised way using the best technology it allows the
fund to buy and hold a large number of shares. Holding a large number
of shares significantly reduces the risk to an investor should one company
experiences a problem.
The fourth advantage is that using a standard
process without a lot of decision making the fund can be run by only
a few people. This reduces the cost and allows us to keep our fees
down so you get better returns.
A Ten Step Process
Update universe.
We download the constituents of the FTSE 350 index
and remove those companies classified as Investment Trusts. These
are companies that simply invest in other shares and are just investment
vehicles. Removing these and companies that are not forecast to
pay a dividend reduces the universe to about 300 companies. The
index is changing constantly due to takeovers and new companies
listing on the stock market.
Update Shares Outstanding and Dividend Forecasts.
From published data we extract the exact number
of shares outstanding for each of the 300 odd companies and the
most recent dividend forecasts using consensus estimates.
Adjust for foreign exchange.
A lot of companies report their accounts in currencies
other than sterling, mostly in dollars. Using the current exchange rate we translate those forecasts into sterling.
Incorporate Share Buy Back plans.
Using our knowledge of the companies, based on
their regulatory announcements, we add in to our database how many
shares each of the several hundred companies we are monitoring is
expected to buy and sell over the next twelve months. That affects
the size of the company and hence the amount it is expected to pay
out in total as dividends.
Calculate the Forecast shares in Issue.
Using this data we then calculate how many shares
each company will have in issue for the next financial year.
Calculate Dividend Payments.
Using the dividend data and the share data we then
calculate how much total cash each company will pay out as dividends
in the next financial year.
Calculate a Total Dividend.
Using this data we then calculate a total dividend
payout for the 300 or so companies in our universe.
Review Data for Consistency.
At this stage we review all the estimates to ensure
they look reasonable and up to date.
Calculate a Weight for Each Company.
Now that we know what each company is expected
to pay out and what the total payout is we can calculate a weight
for each company in the universe.